منابع مشابه
Downside Correlation and Expected Stock Returns
If investors are more averse to the risk of losses on the downside than of gains on the upside, investors ought to demand greater compensation for holding stocks with greater downside risk. Downside correlations better capture the asymmetric nature of risk than downside betas, since conditional betas exhibit little asymmetry across falling and rising markets. We find that stocks with high downs...
متن کاملConsumption, Aggregate Wealth and Expected Stock Returns
This paper studies the role of detrended wealth in predicting stock returns. We call a transitory movement in wealth one that produces a deviation from its shared trend with consumption and labor income. Using U.S. quarterly stock market data we find that these trend deviations in wealth are strong predictors of both real stock returns and excess returns over a Treasury bill rate. We also find ...
متن کاملDurability of Output and Expected Stock Returns
The demand for durable goods is more cyclical than that for nondurable goods and services. Consequently, the cash flow and stock returns of durable-good producers are exposed to higher systematic risk. Using the benchmark input-output accounts of the National Income and Product Accounts, we construct portfolios of durablegood, nondurable-good, and service producers. In the cross-section, an inv...
متن کاملValue at Risk and Expected Stock Returns
This paper provides empirical evidence that firm size, liquidity, and Value-at-Risk (VaR) explain the cross-sectional variation in expected returns, while market beta and total volatility have almost no power to capture the cross-section of expected returns at the firm level. The strong positive relation between average returns and VaR turns out to be robust across different investment horizons...
متن کاملIdiosyncratic Volatility of Liquidity and Expected Stock Returns
We show that idiosyncratic liquidity risk is positively priced in the cross-section of stock returns. Our measure of idiosyncratic liquidity volatility is based on a ”market” model for stock liquidity. Idiosyncratic volatility of liquidity is priced in the presence of systematic liquidity risk: the covariance of stock returns with aggregate liquidity, the covariance of stock liquidity with aggr...
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: SSRN Electronic Journal
سال: 2011
ISSN: 1556-5068
DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.1967489